With the Chase Utley watch in full swing for the Philadelphia Phillies, the loss of a veteran set-up man hasn’t been completely examined. Rube Amaro will try to barter for his replacement in the 8th inning. Who will he target and what will it cost?
CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT
Penthouse Occupancy for the 4-3 outcome: 2
The Chrystal Champagne Toast is a salute to Joe Savery.
He kept the red pinstripes in the close game, facing their competitor’s ace. He fired 2.1 scoreless frames behind Vance Worley, beginning in the 5th.
He was joined on the top floor by Polly Polanco, who had a 2 for 4 night. Polly cracked a battle-tying dong in the 3rd.
2B ump Derryl Cousins had 2 questionable calls on a stolen base, and an inside pick-off play during the 1st to land in the Outhouse.
Rally Tal & Cap in the 3-run 3rd: A two-bagger, a single and a 2-RBI bomb knotted the score at 3.
The Leather Warehouse was revisited by Hunter Pence after a diving-and-tumbling catch in the 4th with 2 on to preserve the 3-3 score at inning’s end. Hector Luna snared a wild pick-off throw in the 8th.
The Lighthouse was operating on a windy and rainy night when a wobbly Polanco tracked down a foul pop to complete the 7th. In the 9th John Mayberry Jr. could not corral a wind-blown pop, but he recovered to make the force at 2nd.
WELCOME, NEWCOMERS:
I will publish after every battle that is not washed out. The Phillies finished last summer 42 games over .500, which equaled a year of many positives. I will have many season-long highlights of puzzle pieces, especially important after drubbings and defeats.
Check out Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Trade considerations
SPECIAL REQUEST:
If you were directed here by a feed and this review does not mention yesterday’s contest, please go to my author archives or Phillies page for my most recent coverage. (Early morning readers may arrive before the latest post.) Scroll down to Tal’s Handy Links at the bottom. Thank you.
NITECAP INSIGHT
Limited Possibilities:
This is the 2nd in a series of an undetermined number that involves the next move by Amaro. Yesterday, I said that Rube was set with Jimmy Rollins at short. Jimmy is the infield captain, Freddy Galvis is a rookie, and he was only a fallback plan. Plus, nobody will deal for a struggling J-Roll with his contract, and he won’t be swapped, if he’s raking. Basically, Amaro will live or die at 7 positions, and Juan Pierre is averaging .340 in the other. That said, these regulars are in the final year of their agreements: Pence, Polanco and Shane Victorino.
BAT & POS | PLAYER | LEVEL | AVG | HR | RBI | SB | CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH - CF | Dom Brown | AAA | .264 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| LH - CF | Tyson Gillies | AA | .280 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 4 |
These are the most attractive bargaining chips at Triple-A Lehigh Valley and Double-A Reading. The stats for the most part don’t jump off the page. That said, the Front Office is happy with Tyson Gillies, and they hope Dom Brown can replace Victorino in center. With the dollars earmarked for Cole Hamels, Vic will probably be a casualty. In addition to the 2 outfielders, Tyler Cloyd is most likely unavailable.
Rube will probably have to part with J.C Ramirez, Jonathan Pettibone, Austin Hyatt or Trevor May for a decent 8th-frame reliever. He probably won’t want to offer Phillippe Aumont, who has closer potential. However, he may have to overpay for a June transaction. Talent below Double-A is possible for a future-oriented organization, like Houston or Oakland. I covered this acquisition issue in March, and the A’s Grant Balfour was at the top of the list. He is 1-1 with a 3.76 ERA and 7 saves in 9 opportunities. Next, I’ll be looking over the other possibilities on Rube’s desk.
ARM & ROLE | HURLER | LEVEL | W - L | ERA | SVS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RH - RP | Phillippe Aumont | AAA | 1 - 0 | 4.85 | 4 |
| RH - SP | Tyler Cloyd | AAA | 4 - 1 | 2.47 | |
| AA | 3 - 0 | 1.80 | |||
| RH - SP | Austin Hyatt | AAA | 2 - 6 | 5.47 | |
| RH - RP | J.C. Ramirez | AA | 0 - 2 | 3.62 | 3 |
| RH - SP | Jonathan Pettibone | AA | 4 - 5 | 3.92 | |
| RH - SP | Trevor May | AA | 5 -3 | 4.94 |
PRECAP PITCH
Cliff Lee:
The team and the number one need a win. This is a favorable matchup for him and he excels at home. That said, he did shave to change his luck last time out, which wasn’t successful.
STARTER | RECORD | TM | STARTER | RECORD | DAY & TIME |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RHP Vance Worley | 4-4, 2.92 ERA | @ Mets | LHP Jon Niese | 6-3, 3.55 ERA | Tuesday, Night |
| 2 | LHP Cliff Lee | 0-5, 4.13 ERA | @ Mets | RHP Chris Young | 2-1, 3.30 ERA | Wednesday, Day |
| 3 | LHP Cole Hamels | 10-4, 3.08 ERA | @ Mets | RHP R.A. Dickey | 12-1, 2.15 ERA | Thursday, Night |
Chad Billingsley:
He has had difficulty with the Phils at the Bank over the last few campaigns. So far, he has lasted 7 innings or more in 2 of 11 attempts with 3 clunkers.
DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012 | DEFINITION OF SEASON |
|---|---|
| Over The Top | Excellent |
| 3-Quarter Sidearm | Good |
| Sidearm | Above Average |
| Short Arm | Approximately Average |
| Submarine | Below Average |
Quality number of the pitcher: 1 – 5
Slot on his club: 1 – 5
Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.
HURLER | Cliff Lee | Edwin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| NUMBER | A One | A Four |
| CLUB SLOT | Three | Three |
| FOR 2012 | 3-Quarter Sidearm | Short Arm |
| '12 RANKING | 2nd of 5 Categories | 4th of 5 Categories |
| LAST START | Cutter * | Eephus Pitch |
| LAST HIGH OR LOW | 3rd of 15 Categories | 13th of 15 Categories |
PITCH | INN | ER - R- H | PITCH | INN | ER |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyroball | 9 (CG) | 0 - 0 - 3 | 10 | Screwball | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Fastball | 9 (CG) | 0 - 0 | 11 | Knuckleball | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Cutter | 9 (CG) | 3 | 12 | Forkball | 0 - 4.2 | Monstrosity |
| 4 | Split Finger | 7 | 2 | 13 | Eephus Pitch | 0 - 2.2 | Disaster |
| 5 | Curveball | 7 | 3 | 14 | *Palm Ball | Ejected | |
| 6 | Sinker | 6.1 | 3 | 15 | *Spit Ball | **Ejected+ | |
| 7 | Slider | 6 | 2 | *Breaking Ball | Injured | ||
| 8 | Changeup | 6 | 3 | *Fosh | Rain Interrupted | ||
| 9 | Slurve | 5 | 2 | *Knuckle Curve | Pitch Count | ||
| ** = Suspended | * = A 2nd Pitch Also |
The Core : Check it out.
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Trade chips (Friday)
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: The other Phillies (Thursday)
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: core value (Wednesday)
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: tomorrow’s guarantee (Tuesday)
(May 14 -18)
MAC:
The program acronym is for Methodical Algorithmic Computerization or Mac. That is the feed system from Fox Sports that had dogged me for 2 months. I probed for a compatible solution, and found that I had possibilities 90% of the time. The rest is luck, which means that you know about half of my articles. In other words, if a Fox affiliate publishes, that trumps everything else. The balance is a flip of the coin. The breakdown at 20 submissions minus 2 unacceptable was 11 of 18 or 11 to 9 total. Some of those other 7 drew positive responses from other outlets.
COMPUTER ALGORITHM VS. TAL:
TAL 18 – MAC 7 (& 2)
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: The other Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: tomorrow’s guarantee
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Check out my previous publication (The Debate) and the 62 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page or my author archives, where there is an excerpt photo.
Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked the Phillies page.
TAL’S HANDY CAPS on Facebook (time problem lately)
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Trade considerations
Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Dead heat? (Horsemen stats)
Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the MLB 5 at game 56
Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the NL East at game 55









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