Roy Halladay will lead the redesigned Philadelphia Phillies into 2013. Can they return to the prominence we have been spoiled by?
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CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT: 3-0 Triumph
|The Crystal Champagne Toast||Chase Utley||Four-Star Performance
|The Penthouse||Pete Orr|
|* Smoked A 2-RBI Gap Double To Close
Within 1 Run In The 2nd During His 1 For 2 Game
Stroked A 2-Run Single To Tie It Up At 4 In The 5th
During His 2 For 4 Night With A SB, A BB & 3 RBI
A 2-Out RBI Triple To Take A 5-4 Advantage In The 5th
Smacked A 2-Run Double To Open A 7-4 Lead In The 7th
During His 2 For 5 Evening
|The Workhouse||Home SP||* A 39-Pitch 2nd Inning|
|The Leather Warehouse||1B Darin Ruf||Made A Spectacular Over-The-Shoulder Catch
Of A Foul In The 5th
|The Fun House Of Mirrors||Home RF|
|Takes 1st On A SO WP & 2nd After A Throw (E2)
To The Bag In The 8th
A SO WP With The Bags Full & A DP Tag At The Plate
To End The 8th
|House Call||Ryan Howard|
|Season-Ending Big Toe Injury
Shut Down With A Dead Arm
This is an article that got buried by the trade of Joe Blanton, and I decided to publish an updated version.
The Intersection Of Yesterday And Tomorrow:
The speedster in center, the right fielder and a hurler are on the west coast, but they didn’t want to be dealt. The reason was the money for 2013 and next season’s competitive-balance threshold. Shane Victorino was at $7.33M AAV (Average Annual Value), Joe Blanton was allotted $8M AAV, and Hunter Pence earned $10.4M with a projection to $14M in ‘13. The dollar combination for 22 players is: The core four ($75M), 2 aces plus a closer ($56.5M), 4 fielding positions other than 3B ($7M), 2 starters ($4.25M), 5 bench roles ($11.25M), 4 young relievers and 1 bullpen buyout ($2.5M). That total is $156.5M from a ceiling of $178M AAV with 3 open spots.
After allowing $5M for the July 31 deadline and $3M in achieved incentives, Rube Amaro would have $13.5M to spend. He would have 3 vacancies to fill, which is third base and 2 backend arms for the relief corps. Re-signing Cole Hamels was a must-do, but a struggling Vic and an undisciplined Hunter were departing necessities. Kentucky Joe was a straight $3M salary dump for the profit margin. Plus, Nate Schierholtz’s 8th-inning play on Wednesday night was probably not caught by Pence. That said, the club is not better without them, but a swapped Hamels would have been worse.
Schierholtz displays a hunger to be in the lineup on a daily basis, and Dom Brown has improved all phases of his game with a glove or a bat. They are likely to occupy 2 of the outfield jobs, while Juan Pierre and John Mayberry Jr. are also in the mix. In order to address the ‘pen and third base, there will be a number of contracts at or near the MLB minimum. In 2014, the Luxury Tax will increase $11M to $189M. This is why the Yankees and Sox have been quiet, while recent buyers will soon reach this boundary also. In other words, it is the look of parity.
Schierholtz wants to be in the order frequently, is solid defensively with strong throwing ability, and he has power. Brown has mostly shortened his swing, is comfortable at the plate, and he has vastly improved his fielding skills. Michael Martinez is here only for his leather, which includes centerfield without Vic. There may even be a place for Magic Juan on next year’s squad, and Laynce Nix is inked through ‘13. Don’t expect anything other than Schierholtz, Brown, Mayberry, Pierre and Nix sharing the outfield.
There are 6 balls-in-the-air requirements: 3 outfielders, a third baseman and 2 set-up men. Brown has already been tabbed as the leftfielder for beyond September, but he can handle all 3 positions. Pierre has speed, averages .300, is adequate in left; and with a $200K raise, he would account for $1M on a one-tour basis. Schierholtz and Mayberry could secure 1 or 2 spots with respectable numbers. Or with Dom and Juan in 2 slots, the other 2 could be the 8-hole glove-type player for a 4-man rotation. If this warning-track patrol can be fairly productive, the GM will have more maneuverability for the 3 bigger issues.
The 6 bullpen seats other than Jonathan Papelbon’s would be split 3 ways: Antonio Bastardo (7th), Josh Lindblom (7th), 2 youngsters from among 9 candidates, and 2 veterans for the 8th. The hot corner will have to be a dangerous right-handed stick, who is 32 or younger, and not error-prone. Rube has $13.5M for the third sacker and 2 endgame pieces, which is enough to accomplish his retooling.
|1||Doc Halladay||Jonathan Papelbon||C Chooch Ruiz||OF Nate Schierholtz||Ty Wigginton|
|2||Cole Hamels||Antonio Bastardo||1B Ryan Howard||OF Dom Brown||Laynce Nix|
|3||Cliff Lee||Josh Lindblom||2B Chase Utley||OF Juan Pierre||John Mayberry Jr.|
|4||Vance Worley||2 Young Arms||SS Jimmy Rollins||Third Base FA||Michael Martinez|
|5||Kyle Kendrick||2 Veteran FA's||Backup Catcher|
Since he overcame his mental boulder, he is 2-1 with a 2.75 July ERA in his last 5 performances. He is back to being the 2010 Christmas present that he was as a free agent.
DAY & TIME
|3||LHP Cliff Lee||06-08, 3.12 ERA||@ Nats||RHP Edwin Jackson||09-11, 4.13 ERA||Wednesday, Day|
He is 5-4 with a 2.79 away ERA, which is 2.08 lower than in his hitter-friendly home park. Against the locals at Chase Field in late April, his ledger read: 5.1 frames, 6 hits, 4 all-earned runs, 2 walks and 3 strikeouts on 88 misfired bullets. Overall, he has worked 6.2 innings plus in 8 of 21 chances with 6 clunkers, including 4 at Chase–another was during a visit to Colorado.
DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012
DEFINITION OF SEASON
|Over The Top||Excellent|
|Short Arm||Approximately Average|
Quality number of the pitcher: 1 – 5
Slot on his club: 1 – 5
Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.
*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation
|NUMBER||A One||A Four|
|FOR 2012||3-Quarter Sidearm||Short Arm|
|'12 RANKING||2nd of 5 Categories||4th of 5 Categories|
|LAST START||Cutter *||Eephus Pitch|
|LAST HIGH OR LOW||3rd of 15 Categories||13th of 15 Categories|
DISPLAY NOTE: Non-listed results can go up or down by
* 1 notch & ** 2 clicks (This note will only appear when it’s relevant.)
* 1 Tick UP
ER - R- H
|1||Gyroball||9 (CG)||0 - 0 - 3||10||Screwball||6||4|
|2||Fastball||9 (CG)||0 - 0||11||Knuckleball||5||3|
|3||Cutter||9 (CG)||3||12||Forkball||0 - 4.2||Monstrosity|
|4||Split Finger||7||2||13||Eephus Pitch||0 - 2.2||Disaster|
|9||Slurve||5||2||*Knuckle Curve||Pitch Count|
|** = Suspended||* = A 2nd Pitch Also|
DOC'S LINE: 5 INN, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 7 K & 90 DARTS
W - L
CG - SO
BB - IBB
|Total||34 - 23||3.48||6.1||59 of 86||2 - 2||12||582.2||225||114 -2||557|
|Hamels||17 - 06||3.05||6.2||21 of 31||2 - 2||03||215.1||073||050 - 2||218|
|Lee||06 - 09||3.16||6.1||23 of 30||0 - 0||02||211.0||074||028 - 0||207|
|Halladay||11 - 08||4.49||7.0||15 of 25||0 - 0||07||156.1||078||036- 0||132|
12TH RIDE OF THE HORSEMEN:
|ACE||W - L||ERA||INN+||CONV||CG||SO||BAD||INN||H||R||ER||BB||IBB||SO|
|Total||2 - 0||2.84||6.1+||2 of 3||0||0||1||19.0||14||6||6||4||0||20|
|Halladay||1 - 0||7.20||6.1+||0 of 1||0||0||1||05.0||06||4||4||3||0||07|
|Lee||0 - 0||1.29||7.0+||1 of 1||0||0||0||07.0||03||1||1||0||0||05|
|Hamels||1 - 0||1.29||7.0+||1 of 1||0||0||0||07.0||05||1||1||1||0||08|
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Check out my previous publications (Dollars And Sense) and the 87 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page, where there is an excerpt photo.
Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.
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