Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Amaro’s choices

Domonic Brown is most likely in the opening-day lineup for the Philadelphia Phillies.  However, at what outfield slot will he be positioned?

TAL’S HANDY CAPS

 

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CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT:    9-2 Outcome

TYPE
PLAYER
REASON
The Crystal Champagne ToastChase UtleyFour-Star Performance
The PenthousePete Orr

Chase Utley

Dom Brown
Chooch Ruiz
* Smoked A 2-RBI Gap Double To Close
Within 1 Run In The 2nd During His 1 For 2 Game
Stroked A 2-Run Single To Tie It Up At 4 In The 5th
During His 2 For 4 Night With A SB, A BB & 3 RBI
A 2-Out RBI Triple To Take A 5-4 Advantage In The 5th
Smacked A 2-Run Double To Open A 7-4 Lead In The 7th
During His 2 For 5 Evening
The WorkhouseHome SP* A 39-Pitch 2nd Inning
The Leather Warehouse1B Darin RufMade A Spectacular Over-The-Shoulder Catch
Of A Foul In The 5th
The Fun House Of MirrorsHome RF

The Defense
Takes 1st On A SO WP & 2nd After A Throw (E2)
To The Bag In The 8th
A SO WP With The Bags Full & A DP Tag At The Plate
To End The 8th
House CallRyan Howard
Tyler Cloyd
Season-Ending Big Toe Injury
Shut Down With A Dead Arm

 

 

Above Asterisk (*) = Corresponding Play

This is an article that got lost in the morning ether,  and I decided to publish an updated version.

 

 

The Miami Version Of The Anonymous Fans

 

NITECAP INSIGHT

 

 

 

The Business Of Baseball:

 

Rube Amaro and Dave Montgomery will consider exceeding the $178M boundary only for a special case. The important words in that sentence are only and case (singular). There hasn’t been one of those to date. It would probably be a $2M overage for a needed player at the trading deadline only.

The Throw To 3rd In The No-Out 8th

Amaro likes acquiring his target before Christmas, and then move on to his next roster necessity. The holes for the 2013 team are 2 veteran backend relievers, a third sacker and 3 warning-track guards. A right-handed power bat must come from one of the 4 openings. Polly Polanco has a mutual option of $5.5M for 2013 with a $1M buyout, but Freddy Galvis is a younger and inexpensive alternative. That probably rules out a free agent at third.

The financial aspect reveals a commitment of at least $162.5M with many near the MLB minimum. That leaves $15.5M plus $.25M (25th man) for a total of $15.75M to spend from the $178M. There is no way that Amaro can hold out for Michael Bourne and Scott Boras with only the possibility of overpaying, if he outbids everyone else. David Wright has a $16M club option for next season, and the Mets will likely exercise it. Josh Hamilton will be in the $20M range or higher, while Melky Cabrera will hit the reset button on his career.

* = Club option for 2013

PLAYER & AGE
2012 $
AVG.
HR
RBI
BB - IBB
SB - CS
LH Josh Hamilton, 32$13.75M.289329944 - 1007 - 03
RH David Wright, 30$15.00M *.323167666 - 1212 - 09
LH Michael Bourne, 30$6.845M.292095046 - 0131 - 08
SH Melky Cabrera, 28$06.00M.346116036 - 0413 - 05
RH Torii Hunter, 37$18.00M.296125625 - 0105 - 01

 

 

The Play At 1st In The 2-Out 9th

Torii Hunter is in the final tour of a 5-year deal, and most general managers do not like to dramatically slash a regular’s pay rate. Hunter’s stats translate to 20 homeruns and 95 RBI over a full 162.  He is older and the Halos have younger stars who will require raises.  Plus, they will need money to re-up Zack Greinke.  The solution to this specific squad is 1 outfielder, 1 solid and 1 secondary arm for the relief corps. That puts Galvis at 3rd and Brown in right.  It also necessitates a leftfield platoon of Pierre and Mayberry.  With this payroll and the need to sell out the park, Rube must restore the championship fever next summer, which means he cannot stand pat or rebuild.

 

Amaro’s Budget:

The last review of this table was on 6/4.
DOLLARS
ALLOCATION
PLAYERS
$72.14MCore FourRollins, Utley, Howard & Hamels
$56.50MAces & CloserHalladay, Lee & Papelbon
$06.25M2 StartersKendrick & Lannan
$12.75M5 RegularsC Ruiz, 3B M. Young, CF Revere,
RF D. Young & LF Brown
$03.70M5 Bench SpotsMayberry, Nix, Kratz, Frandsen & Galvis
$09.60M6 'Pen SeatsAdams, Bastardo, Horst, De Fratus & Stutes
$10.75MSet Aside$5M (Trading Deadline), $3M (Achieved Incentives,
Replacements & Injury Replacements) & $1.45M
(D. Young's Incentives)
Lannan's $1.3M Included in Row Total
(See Add-on at Bottom).
$02.00MBuyoutsPolanco, Contreras & Wigginton
$01.10MReleasedDurbin
$173.59MTOTAL24 Roster Spots
$04.41MOriginal Balance
$01.30MAdd Change$1.3M Lannan's Incentives (Unreachable due to Injury)
$00.50M25th ManSavery
$05.21MNew Balance

 

 

The General Fires His Bullet At The Bank On August 11 Against The Cardinals

 

PRECAP PITCH

 

 

 

 

Cliff Lee:

 

He is 2-2 with a 3.35 ERA in his last 7 matchups, going 7 and 8 complete 6 times–3 each.  His line is:  51 innings, 53 hits, 20 runs (19 earned), 5 BB and 41 punch outs.  In late July at the Bank against the Brewers, his mark was:  7 total, 12 hits, 6 all-earned runs, 1 walk and 6 whiffs on 96 bullets.

 

 
STARTER
RECORD
TM
STARTER
RECORD
DAY & TIME
3LHP Cliff Lee06-08, 3.12 ERA@ NatsRHP Edwin Jackson09-11, 4.13 ERAWednesday, Day

 

Marco Estrada Unloads His Pitch On August 11 In Houston

 

 

Marco Estrada:

 

He has lasted 7 frames in 3 of 14 efforts with 4 clunkers.  Against the Phils in late July, his ledger was:  4 innings, 8 hits, 5 all-earned runs, 3 free passes and 4 strikeouts on 83 tosses.

 

 

 

 

DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012
DEFINITION OF SEASON
Over The TopExcellent
3-Quarter SidearmGood
SidearmAbove Average
Short Arm Approximately Average
SubmarineBelow Average

 

 

Starters’ photos, not described otherwise, are in the 1st inning.

 

Quality number of the pitcher:  1 – 5

Slot on his club:  1 – 5

Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.

*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation

 

HURLER
Cliff Lee
Edwin Jackson
NUMBERA OneA Four
CLUB SLOTThreeThree
FOR 20123-Quarter SidearmShort Arm
'12 RANKING2nd of 5 Categories4th of 5 Categories
LAST STARTCutter *Eephus Pitch
LAST HIGH OR LOW3rd of 15 Categories13th of 15 Categories

 

 

 
PITCH
INN
ER - R- H
 
PITCH
INN
ER
1Gyroball9 (CG)0 - 0 - 310Screwball64
2Fastball9 (CG)0 - 011Knuckleball53
3Cutter9 (CG)312Forkball0 - 4.2Monstrosity
4Split Finger7213Eephus Pitch0 - 2.2Disaster
5Curveball7314*Palm BallEjected
6Sinker6.1315*Spit Ball**Ejected+
7Slider62*Breaking BallInjured
8Changeup63*FoshRain Interrupted
9Slurve52*Knuckle CurvePitch Count
** = Suspended* = A 2nd Pitch Also

 

 

STATS




APOCALYPTIC
HORSEMEN



DOC HALLADAY

DOC'S LINE: 5 INN, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 7 K & 90 DARTS

 

 

ACE
W - L
ERA
INN+
CONV
CG - SO
BAD
INN
ER
BB - IBB
SO
Total34 - 233.486.159 of 862 - 212582.2225114 -2557
Hamels17 - 063.056.221 of 312 - 203215.1073050 - 2218
Lee06 - 093.166.123 of 300 - 002211.0074028 - 0207
Halladay11 - 084.497.015 of 250 - 007156.1078036- 0132

 

 

14TH RIDE OF THE HORSEMEN:

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ACEW - LERAINN+CONVCG SOBADINNHRERBBIBBSO
Total2 - 02.846.1+2 of 300119.014664020
Halladay1 - 07.206.1+0 of 100105.006443007
Lee0 - 01.297.0+1 of 100007.003110005
Hamels1 - 01.297.0+1 of 100007.005111008

 

 

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Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the NL East at game 116

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