Jonathan Papelbon dropped to a 90% close ratio last night for the Philadelphia Phillies from 93.1%. Will he be able to reach 93% again, which he achieved in 2011?
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CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT: 5-4 Outcome
|The Crystal Champagne Toast||Kyle Kendrick||Four-Star Performance|
|The Penthouse||Darin Ruf|
John Mayberry Jr.
|Smoked A 2-RBI Triple To Open A 2-0 Lead
In The 2nd During His 1 For 2 Night With An IBB
Nursing A 2-Run Advantage,
Punched Out Werth With A Runner At 3rd To End The 5th,
& Escaped A Harper-At-3rd One-Out Jam In The 6th
Fired 7 Scoreless, 4-Hit Innings
Made A Superb Catch Of A Blooper In A Critical Spot During The 8th
Ended The 8th-Inning Threat With A Called K On The 4-Hole Stick
|House Call||Jimmy Rollins||Has A Calf Issue|
Above Asterisk (*) = Corresponding Event
To be among the elite closers in the sport, the bullpen-rotation stud needs consecutive seasons of excellence. Entering this campaign, the order was: Mariano Rivera, Papelbon and Brian Wilson. Like top-tier aces, these dominate arms haven’t achieved success for only 1 year or 3 months. Those hurlers are among the best for only a 162.
|Craig Kimbrel ('11)||Braves||2.25||55||64||85.9%|
|John Axeford ('11)||Brewers||2.19||52||54||96.3%|
|Brian Wilson ('11)||Giants||3.32||37||42||88.1%|
|Mariano Rivera ('11)||Yankees||1.94||49||55||89.1%|
|Ryan Madson ('11)||Reds||2.37||32||34||94.1%|
If you look at the above chart, you’ll notice that John Axeford went from a dominant hammer last summer to losing his job temporarily. If Frankie Rodriquez hadn’t tanked, Axeford would not be on the bump in the 9th. This tour it’s Aroldis Chapman and the talk about his last 25 opportunities–not his first 23 tries. In 4 days he’ll have been a beast for 2 months, which doesn’t elevate him over Mo, Cinco Ocho and the Beard.
|Phillies||Jonathan Papelbon||Cardinals||Jason Motte||Giants||By Committee|
|Braves||Craig Kimbrel||Brewers||John Axford||Diamondbacks||J.J. Putz|
|Fish||Steve Cishek||Reds||*Aroldis Chapman||Dodgers||Kenley Jansen|
|Nationals||Tyler Clippard||Bucs||Joel Hanrahan||Rox||Rafael Betancourt|
|Mets||Frank Francisco||Cubs||Carlos Marmol||Pads||Huston Street**|
* Southpaw, ** On DL
Craig Kimbrel would be at the top, if he wasn’t overused in Atlanta. The Braves collapsed because their starters didn’t go deep into the game, which is at least 6.1 frames. This season they added some fresher pitchers, and cut Kimbrel’s workload. Why does that matter? Kimbrel had a 4.76 September ERA with 3 blown saves in 8 chances. Can he avoid another final month without being gassed or hitting a mental wall? Is Joe Nathan going to remain healthy after 2 years removed from greatness, entering 2012? Can Chapman duplicate his success until the end of 2013? The yardstick for a bona fide closer is a 90% save ratio.
|Yankees||Rafael Soriano||Tigers||Jose Valverde||Halos||*Scott Downs|
|Red Sox||Alfredo Aceves||Twins||*Glen Perkins||Halos||Ernesto Frieri|
|Rays||Fernando Rodney||White Sox||Addison Reed||Rangers||Joe Nathan|
|Blue Jays||Casey Janssen||Indians||Chris Perez||Mariners||Tom Wilhelmsen|
|Orioles||Jim Johnson||Royals||Greg Holland||A's||Ryan Cook|
He has struggled recently, going 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA in his last 6 appearances. He is 2-4 with a 5.20 home ERA, which is 2.02 lower on the road. Overall, he has lasted 6.2 innings plus in 6 of 21 attempts with 7 monstrosities.
DAY & TIME
|3||LHP Cliff Lee||06-08, 3.12 ERA||@ Nats||RHP Edwin Jackson||09-11, 4.13 ERA||Wednesday, Day|
He has toiled 6.1 frames or more in 13 of 24 showings with 5 clunkers. He is 6-5 with a 3.60 away ERA, which is 0.83 lower on the road.
DELIVERY = PITCHER’S 2012
DEFINITION OF SEASON
|Over The Top||Excellent|
|Short Arm||Approximately Average|
Starters’ photos, not described otherwise, are in the 1st inning.
Quality number of the pitcher: 1 – 5
Slot on his club: 1 – 5
Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.
*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation
|NUMBER||A Five||A Two|
|FOR 2012||1st Start||Over The Top|
|'12 RANKING||-- of 5 Categories||1st of 5 Categories|
|LAST START||1st Start||Changeup|
|LAST HIGH OR LOW||-- of 15 Categories||8th of 15 Categories|
ER - R- H
|1||Gyroball||9 (CG)||0 - 0 - 3||10||Screwball||6||4|
|2||Fastball||9 (CG)||0 - 0||11||Knuckleball||5||3|
|3||Cutter||9 (CG)||3||12||Forkball||0 - 4.2||Monstrosity|
|4||Split Finger||7||2||13||Eephus Pitch||0 - 2.2||Disaster|
|9||Slurve||5||2||*Knuckle Curve||Pitch Count|
|** = Suspended||* = A 2nd Pitch Also|
CLIFF'S LINE: 6 INN, 8 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 0 BB, 7 K & 109 DARTS
W - L
CG - SO
BB - IBB
|Total||34 - 23||3.48||6.1||59 of 86||2 - 2||12||582.2||225||114 -2||557|
|Hamels||17 - 06||3.05||6.2||21 of 31||2 - 2||03||215.1||073||050 - 2||218|
|Lee||06 - 09||3.16||6.1||23 of 30||0 - 0||02||211.0||074||028 - 0||207|
|Halladay||11 - 08||4.49||7.0||15 of 25||0 - 0||07||156.1||078||036- 0||132|
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Check out my previous publications (Start To Finish) and the 94 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page, where there is an excerpt photo.
Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.