Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Lockdown credentials

Jonathan Papelbon dropped to a 90% close ratio last night for the Philadelphia Phillies from 93.1%.  Will he be able to reach 93% again, which he achieved in 2011?




I will publish after every game that is not washed out.  I will have many summer-long highlights of puzzle pieces, especially important after drubbings and defeats. If you were directed here by a feed and this review does not mention yesterday’s contest, please go to the Phillies page for my most recent coverage. (Early morning readers may arrive before the latest post.) Scroll down to Tal’s Handy Links at the bottom. Thank you.


Check out:  Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Red-pinstripe alert


CAP-SIZE HINDSIGHT:    5-4 Outcome

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Above Asterisk (*) = Corresponding Event



J-Roll Scores A 1st-Inning Run & The Sign Says It All









Fireman’s Ball:


To be among the elite closers in the sport, the bullpen-rotation stud needs consecutive seasons of excellence. Entering this campaign, the order was: Mariano Rivera, Papelbon and Brian Wilson. Like top-tier aces, these dominate arms haven’t achieved success for only 1 year or 3 months. Those hurlers are among the best for only a 162.



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J-Roll Turns The DP For Lee’s Escape From The 6th



If you look at the above chart, you’ll notice that John Axeford went from a dominant hammer last summer to losing his job temporarily. If Frankie Rodriquez hadn’t tanked, Axeford would not be on the bump in the 9th. This tour it’s Aroldis Chapman and the talk about his last 25 opportunities–not his first 23 tries. In 4 days he’ll have been a beast for 2 months, which doesn’t elevate him over Mo, Cinco Ocho and the Beard.




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* Southpaw, ** On DL

Ty Wigginton Is An Easy 7th-Inning Out After The Reliever Robbed The Phils On Magic Juan’s Bunt


Craig Kimbrel would be at the top, if he wasn’t overused in Atlanta. The Braves collapsed because their starters didn’t go deep into the game, which is at least 6.1 frames. This season they added some fresher pitchers, and cut Kimbrel’s workload. Why does that matter? Kimbrel had a 4.76 September ERA with 3 blown saves in 8 chances. Can he avoid another final month without being gassed or hitting a mental wall? Is Joe Nathan going to remain healthy after 2 years removed from greatness, entering 2012? Can Chapman duplicate his success until the end of 2013? The yardstick for a bona fide closer is a 90% save ratio.



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* Southpaw


The Vanimal Reaches Back For A Little Extra On August 17 In Milwaukee




Vance Worley:


He has struggled recently, going 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA in his last 6 appearances.  He is 2-4 with a 5.20 home ERA, which is 2.02 lower on the road.  Overall, he has lasted 6.2 innings plus in 6 of 21 attempts with 7 monstrosities.


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Bronson Arroyo Unloads His Pitch At Home On August 17 Against The Cubs




Bronson Arroyo:


He has toiled 6.1 frames or more in 13 of 24 showings with 5 clunkers.  He is 6-5 with a 3.60 away ERA, which is 0.83 lower on the road.




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Starters’ photos, not described otherwise, are in the 1st inning.


Quality number of the pitcher:  1 – 5

Slot on his club:  1 – 5

Ranking is 1 to 5 & 15 for the less adventurous.

*** = Approximately equal to after plus-and-minus computation


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Check out my previous publications (Start To Finish) and the 94 storylines–so far–for 2012 on the Phillies page, where there is an excerpt photo.

Tal’s Handy Stats is daily coverage. I am alternating the 2012 ERA For The NL East and the 2012 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.