This past July, I wrote about the Detroit Tigers and the potential that they might trade for Justin Upton prior to the deadline. Click here to read that story again. Instead, the Tigers grabbed Anibal Sanchez and Omar Infante to fill out their pre-August wish list. But back to Upton, other than the month on the calendar, little has changed.
Perhaps most notable from that piece back in July was this nugget:
During ’11 Upton hit .289 with 31 homers, 39 doubles, 88 RBI’s, and 21 steals. So far in 2012 his numbers are depressed (.267, 7 HR, 10 doubles, 36 RBI’s) and he doesn’t seem to be jiving with the powers that be in AZ.
Upton fought an AC joint injury in his shoulder and was simply unable to put up an elite season in 2012. And that is now his burden. He is expected to be elite year in and year out.
After struggling for much of the season’s first 4 months, Upton hit .290 in August and .301 in September, swatting 9 of his 17 total homers during that 2-month stretch. Overall, Upton finished the season at .280 with 17 homers, 67 RBI’s, 18 steals, and a .355 on-base %. Despite his strong finish, the Arizona Diamondbacks seem intent on listening to Upton-related trade offers this winter.
His season-ending stats certainly aren’t numbers to shake a stick at, but also not of the MVP-caliber type that has come to be expected of the 25-year old outfielder.
Contractually, Upton is signed through 2015 at a reasonable fare. His next 3 years line up like this:
- 2013: $9,958,000
- 2014: $14,458,000
- 2015: $14,708,000
In other words, for about the same cost that the Tigers were willing to pay Jose Valverde in 2012, they could have Upton in 2013.
If Upton did indeed come to Detroit (and Detroit has been doing their research on him this offseason), the Tigers do have some pieces that are moveable. And after recently trading Chris Young away from their outfield, the D-backs could use some of the help the Tigers have available.
Most notable among the available names would be Brennan Boesch, Andy Dirks, and Quintin Berry. Upton is an everyday player. So is Austin Jackson. That doesn’t leave room for a load of outfielders on the roster, especially with Avisail Garcia and Nick Castellanos (both slated to play corner outfield) pounding on the Major League door.
If Detroit does happen to retain Anibal Sanchez’s services, then they would most certainly have a starting pitching piece to move as well. Adding a Rick Porcello or Drew Smyly to the deal along with a big league-ready outfielder might be enough, along with some other ancillary pieces, to get a deal done. Heck, Garcia and Castellanos themselves may be considered in a trade of this magnitude.
From a Tigers perspective, an ideal outfield in 2013 might look like Dirks-Jackson-Upton from left to right. Upton is a middle of the order thumper who can also swipe 20 bags over the course of a season.
If Detroit was able to package up Boesch and Smyly or Porcello, then a 2013 opening day lineup might look something like this:
- Jackson – CF
- Dirks – LF
- Cabrera – 3B
- Fielder – 1B
- Martinez – DH
- Upton – RF
- Peralta – SS
- Avila – C
- Infante 2B
That is the kind of lineup that would finish in the top 5 of most major offensive categories. Watch this situation closely. Grabbing a 25-year old riser like Upton, without breaking the bank, seems to fit right into GM Dave Dombrowski’s wheelhouse.