New York Jets: Final Seven-Round Mock Draft

In preparing a final New York Jets seven-round mock draft for you, I made ample use of Fanspeak.com’s draft simulator. I used Walter Football’s prospect board for two runs on April 30, followed by Fanspeak’s own board for two. To account for any despicable “stock-up, stock-down” fluctuations that can happen over the course of less than a week, I ran one more simulation with each board today.

4/30 runs:

Walter Football, run 1: A weird start: OG Xavier Su’a-Filo drafted by Buffalo at #9, OT Morgan Moses to the Giants at #12. Eric Ebron, Marqise Lee, Justin Gilbert and some guy named Johnny Manziel are still available to the Jets at #18.

Reports have indicated the Jets are interested Jimmy Garoppolo. Would a fourth-rounder be worth it if he were to fall that far?

Reports have indicated the Jets are interested Jimmy Garoppolo. Would a fourth-rounder be worth it for the Jets, if he were to fall that far?

1. Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
2. Lamarcus Joyner, CB, Florida State
3. Paul Richardson, WR, Colorado
4. Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, Eastern Illinois
Chris Smith, DE, Arkansas
Dri Archer, RB, Kent State
5. Gabe Ikard, C, Oklahoma
6. Ricardo Allen, CB, Purdue
Jalen Saunders, WR, Oklahoma
Matt Patchan, OT, Boston College
Avery Williamson, ILB, Kentucky
7. Tom Hornsey, P, Memphis

Walter Football, run 2: Taylor Lewan to St. Louis #2? What? On board for the Jets: Darqueze Dennard, Odell Beckham, Lee and Teddy Bridgewater.

1. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
2. Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech
3. Travis Swanson, C, Arkansas
4. Christian Jones, ILB, Florida State
EJ Gaines, CB, Missouri
Dri Archer, RB, Kent State
5. Michael Sam, DE, Missouri
6. Bennett Jackson, CB, Notre Dame
Devin Street, WR, Pittsburgh
Matt Patchan, OT, Boston College
Dez Southward, SS, Wisconsin
7. Tom Hornsey, P, Memphis

As you can see, I still refuse to mock a cornerback to the Jets in the first round. They had better draft a tight end or wide receiver, and if Ebron is there, Ebron should be the pick.

Here he is, once again. Can the Jets snag my prospect-crush, Jordan Matthews?

Here he is, once again. Can the Jets snag my prospect-crush, Jordan Matthews?

Fanspeak, run 1: A less awkward start. Ebron’s the pick over Justin Gilbert and safety Calvin Pryor.

1. Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
2. Jordan Matthews, WR, Vanderbilt
3. Bashaud Breeland, CB, Clemson
4. Zach Mettenberger, QB, LSU
Bishop Sankey, RB, Washington
Taylor Hart, DE, Oregon
5. Bryan Stork, C, Florida State
6. Ricardo Allen, CB, Purdue
L’Damian Washington, WR, Missouri
Joe Don Duncan, TE, Dixie State
Preston Brown, ILB, Louisville
7. Tom Hornsey, P, Memphis

Fanspeak, run 2: CB Courtney Roby, safety Jimmie Ward, OT Cyrus Kouandjio go #10-12, leaving Mike Evans, Ebron and, again, Manziel available to the Jets.

1. Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
2. Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
3. Phillip Gaines, CB, Rice
4. Chris Smith, DE, Arkansas
Devin Street, WR, Pittsburgh
Andre Williams, RB, Boston College
5. Deion Belue, CB, Alabama
6. Gabe Ikard, C, Oklahoma
Matt Hazel, WR, Coastal Carolina
Sean Parker, SS, Washington
Kirby Van Der Kamp, P, Iowa State
7. Matt Patchan, OT, Boston College
The only way I pass up Ebron is if Mike Evans inexplicably falls to #18, but I don’t see Jimmie Ward and Cyrus Kouandjio being taken before Evans.

5/6 runs:

Walter Football: Ebron over Beckham, Brandin Cooks.

1. Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
2. CJ Mosley, ILB, Alabama
3. Paul Richardson, WR, Colorado
4. Trevor Reilly, DE/LB, Utah
Rashaad Reynolds, CB, Oregon State
Dri Archer, RB, Kent State
5. Terrance Mitchell, CB, Oregon
6. Trai Turner, OG, LSU
Prince Shembo, OLB, Notre Dame
Devin Street, WR, Pittsburgh
Matt Patchan, OT, Boston College
7. Tom Hornsey, P, Memphis

Having CJ Mosley fall to #49 was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity – I even took him over my prospect-crush, Vanderbilt WR Jordan Matthews.

Fanspeak: Ebron over Gilbert, Pryor, Beckham, though we have the weirdest top five yet: OLB Anthony Barr #1 overall to Houston, OLB Kyle Van Noy #5 to Oakland. Maybe the simulator is taking into account the erratic illogic historically displayed by Oakland’s ownership, but Van Noy is a little too far-fetched for me.

1. Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
2. Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State
3. Terrence Brooks, FS, Florida State
4. Pierre Desir, CB, Lindenwood
Craig Loston, SS, LSU
Dri Archer, RB, Kent State
5. Brandon Coleman, WR, Rutgers
6. David Fales, QB, San Jose State
Charles Leno, OT, Boise State
Xavier Grimble, TE, USC
Kirby Van Der Kamp, P, Iowa State
7. James Stone, C, Tennessee

Some trends you may have noticed:

  • This is the best draft for the Jets to add a desperately-needed tight end and wide receiver. The classes are so deep that the Jets can draft two great weapons in the first three rounds, leaving room for an elite defensive prospect.
  • With the team having three fourth-rounders, I couldn’t pass up Kent State speedster Dri Archer, who was consistently available to the Jets there along with a horde of other runners. Also available were quarterbacks. I previously declared that the Jets had better not draft a quarterback, but if Jimmy Garoppolo or Zach Mettenberger falls that far, I wouldn’t say boo to the Jets lapping up a steal. With all the draft picks the team has collected, they deserve it.
  • The only times I didn’t pick Memphis punter Tom Hornsey in the seventh round is when I felt saucy and went after Iowa State punter Kirby Van Der Kamp in the sixth instead. Also, double-dipping at wide receiver, cornerback and even tight end are not only possibilities but should-be’s where possible.

With that, we come to my final, totally realistic seven-round mock draft for the New York Jets, complete with back-up selections if players aren’t available:

Round 1, pick #18: Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina

No, I don’t think Mike Evans will fall this far, so nobody can top Ebron if he’s available. It’s clear that Ebron is less projected to go #9 to Buffalo or #12 to the Giants as he was a month ago. If he does fall to #18, he’ll likely be the best player on the board. Back-up pick: Odell Beckham, WR, LSU.

florida state seminoles

Lamarcus Joyner can play cornerback or safety for the secondary-needy Jets.

Round 2, pick #49: Lamarcus Joyner, DB, Florida State

The Jets are in dire need not only at cornerback, but also at safety. Good news: Joyner can offer experience at both positions. He’s 5-8 but plays much bigger – big enough of a defensive presence to rack up more sacks (five) than interceptions (two) in his 2013 Seminole season. Back-up pick: Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington.

Round 3, pick #80: Paul Richardson, WR, Colorado

Maybe a month ago, I’d have said the Jets would be crazy to wait until round 3 to draft a wide receiver. But I feel more and more safe thinking about Eric Decker’s and Jacoby Ford’s presences in the lineup, and the class is deep. Richardson may not be one of the top ten receivers in the draft, but he’s still Day 2 talent. Back-up pick: Bashaud Breeland, CB, Clemson.

Round 4, pick #104: Chris Smith, DE/LB, Arkansas

Smith projects as an outside ’backer in the league. Not unlike what I said about Michael Sam once upon a time, the Jets could develop Smith into a pass-rusher to play opposite Quinton Coples. Back-up pick: Craig Loston, SS, LSU.

Round 4, pick #115: Craig Loston, SS, LSU

Here’s what I wrote about Loston in my only previous mock draft, April 18: “Multiple sources place Loston between the third and fifth rounds. A strong safety who can push Dawan Landry for playing time on defense, Loston also played well on special teams coverage for Thomas McGaughey, LSU’s former coordinator now with the Jets.” None of that has changed. Back-up pick: Christian Jones, ILB, Florida State.

[Four sleepers I like for New York Jets]

Round 4, pick #137: Dri Archer, RB, Kent State

He ran the 40 so fast, we had to publish a picture instead of a video, just so you could see him.

He ran the 40 so fast, we had to publish a picture instead of a video, just so you could see him.

Archer posted the fastest 40 time at the 2014 Scouting Combine, 4.26 seconds, rivaling new Jet Chris Johnson’s all-time record of 4.24. The Jets have a crowded backfield as it is, but Archer can be plugged into a variety of roles based on his speed alone, including slot receiver and kick returner. Back-up pick: Andre Williams, RB, Boston College.

Round 5, pick #154: Gabe Ikard, C, Oklahoma

Besides center, where the Jets should start thinking about their potential successor to Nick Mangold, Ikard played plenty of left guard at Oklahoma, another position New York lacks depth. Back-up pick: Bryan Stork, C, Florida State.

Round 6, pick #195: Ricardo Allen, CB, Purdue

Another cornerback for depth, the Jets could use Allen, who made six interceptions in his senior year. If not on defense, every team needs special teamers. Back-up pick: David Fales, QB, San Jose State.

Round 6, pick #209: Devin Street, WR, Pittsburgh

The Jets can’t have too many receivers, and the 6-3 Street has relatively few weaknesses in his game for a projected sixth-rounder. Back-up pick: Jeff Janis, WR, Saginaw Valley State.

He's a "Trent Green clone," if you ask Trent Dilfer. Throwback to 2000 suddenly.

He’s a “Trent Green clone,” if you ask Trent Dilfer. Throwback to 2000 suddenly.

Round 6, pick #210: David Fales, QB, San Jose State

With all major problems addressed, the Jets take David Fales, who Trent Dilfer has called a “Trent Green clone” on NFL Live. He can compete with Matt Simms for the third-string job, and maybe take a place on the practice squad if that doesn’t pan out. Back-up pick: Louchiez Purifoy, CB, Florida.

Round 6, pick #213: Matt Patchan, OT, Boston College

Patchan was originally a defensive lineman and is still learning the position. If he’s being projected as a late-rounder and he’s still learning the position, that shows there is some huge upside. Back-up pick: Kirby Van Der Kamp, P, Iowa State.

Round 7, pick #233: Tom Hornsey, P, Memphis

The Jaguars picked a punter in the third round in 2012 when Russell Wilson was still on the board. So after eleven other picks, what’s a seventh spent on a punter for the Jets? The position is not set in stone, and new special teams coordinator Thomas McGaughey may want to bring in a rookie to compete for the job. Back-up pick: Kevin Graf, OT, USC